20946 - PRINCIPLES OF BUSINESS ANALYTICS
Department of Decision Sciences
EMANUELE BORGONOVO
Class 1: SERGIO VENTURINI, Class 2: ELENA POLI, Class 3: MATTIA VITTORIO ORESTE COZZI, Class 4: ALESSANDRO RECLA, Class 5: MAURIZIO POLI, Class 6: EMANUELE BORGONOVO
Mission & Content Summary
MISSION
CONTENT SUMMARY
- Decision analysis: influence diagrams and decision trees.
- Value of information: EVSI and EVPI.
- Linear programming.
- Predictive models for a continuous response: linear regression.
- Diagnostics of the linear regression model (multicollinearity, heteroscedasticity, residual analysis).
- Predictive models for a categorical response: logistic regression.
Intended Learning Outcomes (ILO)
KNOWLEDGE AND UNDERSTANDING
- Recognize appropriate models to solve business and management problems.
- Identify the correct methodology for solving business and management problems.
- Discern between deterministic and non-deterministic models.
APPLYING KNOWLEDGE AND UNDERSTANDING
- Organize information to build a quantitative model in line with the input posed.
- Translate a decision problem into a corresponding quantitative model.
- Use the software Excel (Solver), TreePlan, R in order to determine solutions to a problem.
- Interpret solutions derived from implementing the chosen model in order to make optimal decisions.
- Analyze models with sensitivity analysis tools to obtain "managerial insights".
Teaching methods
- Lectures
- Practical Exercises
DETAILS
Teaching and learning activities for this course are divided into face-to-face lectures during which management problems are explained and solution models through quantitative methods are proposed and discussed. Students are assisted in:
- Identifying the quantitative model, whose principles and properties are described.
- Implementation through dedicated software.
- The solution to the problem.
- Interpreting the solution.
- Analysis of the variability of solutions on the basis of input parameters.
In particular, Excel (Solver), TreePlan and R are used in the classroom. Two in-class exercise sessions are held during which students complete both individual and group activities with their laptops, aimed at the described procedure (identifying a model, implementing data, solutions and sensitivity analysis). These exercises are used as self-assessment of learning of the aspects indicated.
Assessment methods
Continuous assessment | Partial exams | General exam | |
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ATTENDING AND NOT ATTENDING STUDENTS
Assessment, both for attending and non-attending students, is based on two assignments and a final assessment on an online platform with problems to solve and through data analysis, divided into open-ended numerical questions and multiple-choice questions. The exam aims to verify:
- The ability to identify a model in line with the hypothesys theories and data assigned.
- The ability to implement the model with the appropriate software.
- The ability to interpret the software’s output.
- The ability to assess the sensitivity of the solutions compared to the input parameters.
Teaching materials
ATTENDING AND NOT ATTENDING STUDENTS
- E. Borgonovo, D. Fein and E. Poli: "Principles of Business Analytics", EGEA, 2024.
- G.E. MONAHAN, Management Decision Making, Cambridge University Press, 2000.
- F.S. HILLIER and G.J. LIEBERMAN, Introduction to Operations Research, 2001, Second Edition.
- J. FOX, Using the R Commander: A Point-and-Click Interface for R, Chapman and Hall CRC, 2016.
- Notes provided by the teachers.